Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Merida, hard - Final

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
France	beIN Sports 3
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Cristina Bucsa		Magdalena Frech

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.63	2.24	Watch
	1.69	2.31
	1.67	2.20	Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.66	2.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.79)	2.26 ↑ (2.04)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cristina Bucsa
57.9%

Magdalena Frech
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cristina Bucsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Magdalena Frech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cristina Bucsa than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cristina Bucsa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magdalena Frech than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Magdalena Frech could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Cristina Bucsa - Magdalena Frech Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bucsa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Frech will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bucsa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2 Games - Bucsa (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bucsa (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bucsa is ranked WTA: 63. Frech is ranked WTA: 57.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Frech may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bucsa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Magdalena Frech - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 46.71%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cristina Bucsa
WTA Merida
28.02.26	Jasmine Paolini - Cristina Bucsa	0:2 ✺
27.02.26	Zeynep Sonmez - Cristina Bucsa	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Cristina Bucsa - Marina Stakusic	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Cristina Bucsa - Donna Vekic	2:0 ✺
WTA Dubai
15.02.26	Ella Seidel - Cristina Bucsa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWWL
- Magdalena Frech
WTA Merida
28.02.26	Magdalena Frech - Shuai Zhang	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Magdalena Frech - Marie Bouzkova	2:1 ✺
26.02.26	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro - Magdalena Frech	0:2 ✺
24.02.26	Magdalena Frech - Maria Timofeeva	2:0 ✺
WTA Dubai
14.02.26	Magdalena Frech - Varvara Gracheva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
12.08.21	Magdalena Frech - Cristina Bucsa	2:0
12.09.20	Cristina Bucsa - Magdalena Frech	2:1

Cristina Bucsa - Magdalena Frech: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide