Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phan Thiet 4, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday


	Cruz Hewitt		Ilia Simakin

	1	2
	3.40	1.28
	3.40	1.27
	3.4	1.27	Watch
	3.75	1.28
	3.35	1.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (3.07)	1.28 ↓ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruz Hewitt
26.9%

Ilia Simakin
73.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

69.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

67.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruz Hewitt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Ilia Simakin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Hewitt than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cruz Hewitt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilia Simakin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cruz Hewitt - Ilia Simakin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hewitt is ranked ATP: 333. Simakin is ranked ATP: 177.

Hewitt is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Simakin is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Hewitt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Simakin is the team to beat.

We predict that Simakin will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruz Hewitt
ATP Challenger
16.09.26	Cruz Hewitt - Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine	2:0 ✺
15.09.26	Cruz Hewitt - Digvijay Pratap Singh	2:0 ✺
10.09.26	Cruz Hewitt - Max Purcell	0:2 ✺
09.09.26	Cruz Hewitt - Timofei Derepasko	2:0 ✺
07.09.26	Cruz Hewitt - Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWW
- Ilia Simakin
ATP Challenger
17.09.26	Blake Ellis - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
15.09.26	Timofei Derepasko - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Arthur Weber - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
11.09.26	Ilia Simakin - Max Purcell	2:1 ✺
09.09.26	Enzo Aguiard - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWW

Cruz Hewitt - Ilia Simakin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide