Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phan Thiet 3, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday


	Ilia Simakin		Max Purcell

	1	2
	2.10	1.65
	2.25	1.61
	2.23	1.71
	2.13	1.62	Watch
	2.20	1.69
	2.14	1.64	Watch
	2.14	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.09)	1.65 (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilia Simakin
43.2%

Max Purcell
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilia Simakin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Max Purcell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Purcell than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Ilia Simakin - Max Purcell Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Simakin will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Purcell will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Purcell (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Purcell (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Purcell (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Simakin is ranked ATP: 275. Purcell is ranked ATP: 803.

Simakin is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Purcell's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Simakin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Ilia Simakin - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.12%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilia Simakin
ATP Challenger
09.09.26	Enzo Aguiard - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Ilia Simakin	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Kasidit Samrej - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
04.09.26	Ilia Simakin - Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	2:1 ✺
03.09.26	Ilia Simakin - Ilya Ivashka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWW
- Max Purcell
ATP Challenger
10.09.26	Cruz Hewitt - Max Purcell	0:2 ✺
10.09.26	Blake Ellis - Max Purcell	0:2 ✺
07.09.26	Max Purcell - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.09.26	Kristjan Tamm - Max Purcell	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
27.08.26	Max Purcell - Andres Andrade	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWW?L

Ilia Simakin - Max Purcell: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide