Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Alcala de Henares, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Cyril Vandermeersch		Yaroslav Demin

	1	2
	1.5	2.4
	1.43	2.58	Watch
	1.47	2.5	Watch
	1.46	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.36)	2.47 ↓ (2.81)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cyril Vandermeersch
62.8%

Yaroslav Demin
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cyril Vandermeersch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Yaroslav Demin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cyril Vandermeersch than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cyril Vandermeersch, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yaroslav Demin than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yaroslav Demin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Cyril Vandermeersch - Yaroslav Demin Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Vandermeersch will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Demin will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vandermeersch is ranked ATP: 570. Demin is ranked ATP: 1012.

Vandermeersch is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Demin has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Vandermeersch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Vandermeersch might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cyril Vandermeersch
ITF Tournaments
21.11.25	Cyril Vandermeersch - Pieter De Lange	2:0 ✺
20.11.25	Cyril Vandermeersch - Mathys Picard	2:0 ✺
19.11.25	Cyril Vandermeersch - Aleksander Chayka	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Cyril Vandermeersch - Igor Kudriashov	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Robert Strombachs - Cyril Vandermeersch	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWLW
- Yaroslav Demin
ITF Tournaments
21.11.25	Yaroslav Demin - Carles Hernandez	2:0 ✺
20.11.25	Yaroslav Demin - Luka Talan Lopatic	2:1 ✺
29.10.25	Arvid Nordquist - Yaroslav Demin	2:0 ✺
08.10.25	Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez - Yaroslav Demin	Demin Y. retired ✺
24.09.25	Yaroslav Demin - Michiel De Krom	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWL?L

Cyril Vandermeersch - Yaroslav Demin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide