Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 CAIRNS (AUSTRALIA), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 6 October 2023, Friday


	Daisuke Sumizawa		Ajeet Rai

	1	2
			Watch
	2.6	1.42
	2.7	1.4
	2.77	1.43
	2.62	1.44
	2.69	1.41	Watch
	2.75	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2)	1.42 ↓ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daisuke Sumizawa
34.5%

Ajeet Rai
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daisuke Sumizawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daisuke Sumizawa's form might have worsened.

Ajeet Rai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ajeet Rai's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daisuke Sumizawa than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daisuke Sumizawa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajeet Rai than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ajeet Rai, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Recent matches Sumizawa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rai is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rai could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Rai will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Rai to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daisuke Sumizawa
ITF Tournaments
04.10.23	Daisuke Sumizawa - Kody Pearson	2:1 ✺
03.10.23	Daisuke Sumizawa - Corban Crowther	2:1 ✺
20.09.23	Naoki Nakagawa - Daisuke Sumizawa	2:0 ✺
18.09.23	Takuya Kumasaka - Daisuke Sumizawa	Kumasaka T. retired ✺
14.09.23	Koki Matsuda - Daisuke Sumizawa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWL?L
- Ajeet Rai
ITF Tournaments
04.10.23	Tomislav Edward Papac - Ajeet Rai	0:2 ✺
03.10.23	Tai Sach - Ajeet Rai	1:2 ✺
22.09.23	Ajeet Rai - Blake Mott	0:2 ✺
21.09.23	Ajeet Rai - Corban Crowther	2:0 ✺
20.09.23	Ajeet Rai - Sam Ryan Ziegann	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLWW

Daisuke Sumizawa - Ajeet Rai: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide