Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brisbane 3 - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Takuya Kumasaka		Daisuke Sumizawa

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.25	3.55	Watch
	1.23	4.01
	1.26	3.47	Watch
	1.25	3.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.45)	3.65 ↑ (2.62)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Takuya Kumasaka
74.5%

Daisuke Sumizawa
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Takuya Kumasaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Takuya Kumasaka's performance.

Daisuke Sumizawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daisuke Sumizawa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Takuya Kumasaka than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Takuya Kumasaka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daisuke Sumizawa than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daisuke Sumizawa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Takuya Kumasaka - Daisuke Sumizawa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kumasaka is ranked ATP: 498. Sumizawa is ranked ATP: 858.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sumizawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kumasaka might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kumasaka won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Takuya Kumasaka
ATP Challenger
03.11.25	Takuya Kumasaka - Ryan Peniston	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Takuya Kumasaka - Hayato Matsuoka	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Takuya Kumasaka - Taku Ito	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Kasidit Samrej - Takuya Kumasaka	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Takuya Kumasaka - Maxim Zhukov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWLW
- Daisuke Sumizawa
ATP Challenger
02.11.25	Takeru Yuzuki - Daisuke Sumizawa	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.10.25	Daisuke Sumizawa - Yuta Tomida	0:2 ✺
20.10.25	Daisuke Sumizawa - Seung Woo Cho	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Daisuke Sumizawa - Takuya Kumasaka	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Daisuke Sumizawa - Jacob Brumm	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
17.09.25	Daisuke Sumizawa - Takuya Kumasaka	1:2
18.09.23	Takuya Kumasaka - Daisuke Sumizawa	Kumasaka T. retired
21.06.23	Daisuke Sumizawa - Takuya Kumasaka	2:0

Takuya Kumasaka - Daisuke Sumizawa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide