Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SAO LEOPOLDO (BRAZIL), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 16 November 2022, Wednesday


	Damian Wenger		Gonzalo Lama

	1	2
	2.37	1.53	Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.25	1.62
	2.22	1.64
	2.24	1.65
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.17	1.63	Watch
	2.2	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.5)	1.61 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damian Wenger
41.9%

Gonzalo Lama
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damian Wenger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Gonzalo Lama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Damian Wenger than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Damian Wenger that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonzalo Lama than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gonzalo Lama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Damian Wenger - Gonzalo Lama Predictions

Users Predictions: Gonzalo Lama will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Wenger is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lama is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Wenger could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lama will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Lama to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Wenger won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damian Wenger
ATP Challenger
14.11.22	Damian Wenger - Nicolas Zanellato	2:1 ✺
13.11.22	Damian Wenger - Federico Zeballos	2:0 ✺
07.11.22	Jan Choinski - Damian Wenger	2:0 ✺
06.11.22	Federico Aguilar Cardozo - Damian Wenger	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.10.22	Damian Wenger - Nicholas David Ionel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLWL
- Gonzalo Lama
ATP Challenger
16.11.22	Jan Choinski - Gonzalo Lama	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.11.22	Gonzalo Lama - Matias Franco Descotte	2:1 ✺
12.11.22	Gonzalo Lama - Valerio Aboian	2:1 ✺
11.11.22	Gonzalo Lama - Leonardo Aboian	2:0 ✺
10.11.22	Gonzalo Lama - Tomas Farjat	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 ?WWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
12.06.21	Gonzalo Lama - Damian Wenger	2:0

Damian Wenger - Gonzalo Lama: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide