Match Info

Date: 24 October 2021, Sunday


	Damir Dzumhur		Egor Gerasimov

	1	2
			Watch
	2.7	1.42
	2.55	1.49	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.91	1.42
	2.75	1.4
	2.95	1.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.38)	1.42 ↓ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damir Dzumhur
33.9%

Egor Gerasimov
66.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damir Dzumhur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Damir Dzumhur's form might have worsened.

Egor Gerasimov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Egor Gerasimov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egor Gerasimov than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Damir Dzumhur - Egor Gerasimov Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Dzumhur will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Gerasimov will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gerasimov: 50.6% – 100%.

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Gerasimov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Dzumhur will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gerasimov won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Moscow
18.10.21	Damir Dzumhur - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
17.10.21	Damir Dzumhur - Zdenek Kolar	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.10.21	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
05.10.21	Georgii Kravchenko - Damir Dzumhur	1:2 ✺
04.10.21	Pedro Cachin - Damir Dzumhur	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLW?
- Egor Gerasimov
ATP Moscow
21.10.21	Egor Gerasimov - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
19.10.21	Miomir Kecmanovic - Egor Gerasimov	1:2 ✺
17.10.21	Egor Gerasimov - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
16.10.21	Egor Gerasimov - Ramkumar Ramanathan	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.10.21	Egor Gerasimov - Christopher Eubanks	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Moscow
16.10.18	Egor Gerasimov - Damir Dzumhur	2:1

Damir Dzumhur - Egor Gerasimov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide