Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zadar (Croatia), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 March 2025, Wednesday


	Damir Dzumhur		Zdenek Kolar

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.42	2.65	Watch
	1.51	2.4	Watch
	1.55	2.4	Watch
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.49	2.51	Watch
	1.51	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.31)	2.5 ↓ (3.15)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damir Dzumhur
62.7%

Zdenek Kolar
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.6%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damir Dzumhur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Damir Dzumhur's form might have worsened.

Zdenek Kolar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zdenek Kolar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Damir Dzumhur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zdenek Kolar than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zdenek Kolar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Damir Dzumhur - Zdenek Kolar Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Dzumhur will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Kolar will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dzumhur is ranked ATP: 70. Kolar is ranked ATP: 399.

Dzumhur is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Kolar is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kolar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Dzumhur will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Dzumhur won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Challenger
16.03.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Damir Dzumhur - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
14.03.25	Damir Dzumhur - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:0 ✺
13.03.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
12.03.25	Tristan Boyer - Damir Dzumhur	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 LWWWW
- Zdenek Kolar
ATP Challenger
17.03.25	Daniel Michalski - Zdenek Kolar	1:2 ✺
16.03.25	Juan Pablo Paz - Zdenek Kolar	0:2 ✺
03.03.25	Zdenek Kolar - Yanki Erel	0:2 ✺
02.03.25	Zdenek Kolar - Axel Herberg Amoros	2:0 ✺
25.02.25	Zdenek Kolar - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.06.23	Zdenek Kolar - Damir Dzumhur	2:0
ATP Moscow
17.10.21	Damir Dzumhur - Zdenek Kolar	2:0
ATP Challenger
09.11.19	Damir Dzumhur - Zdenek Kolar	2:0

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