Match Info

Date: 27 October 2020, Tuesday


	Damir Dzumhur		Yuichi Sugita

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.35	3.2	Watch
	1.33	3.15
	1.36	3.38
	1.36	3.1	Watch
	1.36	3.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.52)	3.21 ↑ (2.55)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damir Dzumhur
70.4%

Yuichi Sugita
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damir Dzumhur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Damir Dzumhur's performance.

Yuichi Sugita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yuichi Sugita might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Damir Dzumhur that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuichi Sugita than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yuichi Sugita could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.1%	0%	13.9%

Damir Dzumhur - Yuichi Sugita Predictions

Users Predictions: Damir Dzumhur will win (31 of 36 users predict this - 86.11%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.81% – 97.41%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Sugita could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sugita is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Astana
26.10.20	Yannick Hanfmann - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
25.10.20	Oleksandr Nedovyesov - Damir Dzumhur	1:2 ✺
ATP Cologne 2
20.10.20	Damir Dzumhur - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
18.10.20	Oscar Otte - Damir Dzumhur	Otte O. retired ✺
17.10.20	Marc Polmans - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWL?W
- Yuichi Sugita
ATP Astana
26.10.20	Yuichi Sugita - Marc Polmans	2:1 ✺
25.10.20	Yuichi Sugita - Mohamed Safwat	2:0 ✺
ATP Antwerp
19.10.20	Salvatore Caruso - Yuichi Sugita	2:0 ✺
18.10.20	Nicholas David Ionel - Yuichi Sugita	1:2 ✺
ATP Cologne
10.10.20	Yuichi Sugita - Henri Laaksonen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWL

Damir Dzumhur - Yuichi Sugita: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide