Match Info

Date: 20 October 2020, Tuesday


	Damir Dzumhur		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.4	1.55
	2.48	1.55
	2.37	1.54
	2.47	1.6
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.52	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.1)	1.55 ↓ (1.79)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damir Dzumhur
38.6%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damir Dzumhur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Damir Dzumhur's form might have worsened.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alejandro Davidovich Fokina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Damir Dzumhur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19.3%	0%	80.7%

Damir Dzumhur - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Users Predictions: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will win (88 of 109 users predict this - 80.73%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.33% – 88.13%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Davidovich Fokina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Davidovich Fokina will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Cologne 2
18.10.20	Oscar Otte - Damir Dzumhur	Otte O. retired ✺
17.10.20	Marc Polmans - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.10.20	Damir Dzumhur - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
11.10.20	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Damir Dzumhur	2:1 ✺
10.10.20	Damir Dzumhur - Carlos Gimeno Valero	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 ?WLLW
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Cologne 2
19.10.20	Marin Cilic - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Canceled ✺
ATP Cologne
17.10.20	Alexander Zverev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
16.10.20	David Novak - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2 ✺
15.10.20	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Marin Cilic	2:1 ✺
13.10.20	Emil Ruusuvuori - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 ?LWWW

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