Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali (Rwanda), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 February 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kigali (Rwanda) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Zdenek Kolar		Joel Schwaerzler

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Zdenek Kolar
53.8%

Joel Schwaerzler
46.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zdenek Kolar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Joel Schwaerzler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zdenek Kolar than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Kolar is ranked ATP: 385. Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 312.

Kolar is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Schwaerzler is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kolar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zdenek Kolar
ATP Challenger
24.02.25	Zdenek Kolar - Adrian Oetzbach	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Zdenek Kolar - Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.02.25	Zdenek Kolar - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
08.02.25	Zdenek Kolar - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:1 ✺
07.02.25	Manuel Mazza - Zdenek Kolar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWW
- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Challenger
04.02.25	Federico Coria - Joel Schwaerzler	2:1 ✺
03.02.25	Daniel Vallejo - Joel Schwaerzler	1:2 ✺
02.02.25	Hernan Casanova - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
28.01.25	Pedro Sakamoto - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
27.01.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Pedro Boscardin Dias	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWLW

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Vienna
24.10.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Titouan Droguet	✺

Zdenek Kolar - Joel Schwaerzler: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide