Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cap Cana (Dominican Republic), hard - Semi-finals

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday


	Damir Dzumhur		Jakub Mensik

	1	2
	4	1.22	Watch
	3.5	1.26	Watch
	3.6	1.25	Watch
	3.59	1.28	Watch
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.39	1.29	Watch
	3.6	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (3.18)	1.26 ↓ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damir Dzumhur
25.7%

Jakub Mensik
74.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

70.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

71.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damir Dzumhur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Jakub Mensik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Damir Dzumhur - Jakub Mensik Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Dzumhur will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Mensik will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mensik: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dzumhur is ranked ATP: 84. Mensik is ranked ATP: 57.

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Mensik could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Challenger
14.03.25	Damir Dzumhur - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:0 ✺
13.03.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
12.03.25	Tristan Boyer - Damir Dzumhur	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.25	Damir Dzumhur - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
05.03.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Damir Dzumhur	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWWLW
- Jakub Mensik
ATP Challenger
14.03.25	Jakub Mensik - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:1 ✺
13.03.25	Jakub Mensik - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
12.03.25	Jakub Mensik - Christian Garin	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	Karen Khachanov - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
06.03.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLW

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