Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pozoblanco, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday


	Dan Added		Ilya Ivashka

	1	2
			Watch
	2.90	1.36
	2.80	1.41	Watch
	3.24	1.41
	2.94	1.35	Watch
	3.05	1.39
	2.85	1.37	Watch
	2.90	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.33)	1.38 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dan Added
31.8%

Ilya Ivashka
68.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dan Added has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dan Added's form might have worsened.

Ilya Ivashka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ilya Ivashka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dan Added than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilya Ivashka than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Dan Added - Ilya Ivashka Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21.5 Games - under (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Added is ranked ATP: 243. Ivashka is ranked ATP: 554.

Added is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ivashka has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ivashka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ivashka will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Dan Added - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 39.56%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dan Added
ATP Challenger
16.07.26	Dan Added - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:1 ✺
14.07.26	Dan Added - Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.07.26	Dan Added - Oliver Crawford	0:2 ✺
09.07.26	Isaac Becroft - Dan Added	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	Manel Lazaro Juncadella - Dan Added	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWW
- Ilya Ivashka
ATP Challenger
16.07.26	Ilya Ivashka - Aziz Ouakaa	2:0 ✺
14.07.26	Maximus Jones - Ilya Ivashka	Jones M. Retired ✺
13.07.26	Iliyan Radulov - Ilya Ivashka	0:2 ✺
12.07.26	Agustin Siancha Borlenghi - Ilya Ivashka	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.06.26	Pablo Martinez Gomez - Ilya Ivashka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 W?WWL

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