Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BLOIS (FRANCE), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 19 June 2023, Monday


	Dan Added		Michael Geerts

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.8	1.9
	1.88	1.88
	1.98	1.86
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.79	1.95	Watch
	1.8	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.27)	1.89 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dan Added
50.7%

Michael Geerts
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dan Added has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dan Added's performance.

Michael Geerts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Michael Geerts might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dan Added than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dan Added that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michael Geerts could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Dan Added - Michael Geerts Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Added will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Geerts will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Added: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Added is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Geerts is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Added could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Added won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dan Added
ATP Challenger
13.06.23	Dan Added - Mathias Bourgue	0:2 ✺
08.06.23	Pavel Kotov - Dan Added	2:0 ✺
06.06.23	Max Hans Rehberg - Dan Added	Rehberg M. H. retired ✺
ATP Roland Garros
24.05.23	Dan Added - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
22.05.23	Dan Added - Maximilian Marterer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LL?LW
- Michael Geerts
ATP Challenger
14.06.23	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
13.06.23	Dragos Nicolae Madaras - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
06.06.23	Facundo Bagnis - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
24.05.23	Michael Geerts - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	0:2 ✺
23.05.23	Pavel Kotov - Michael Geerts	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.03.22	Michael Geerts - Dan Added	0:2

Dan Added - Michael Geerts: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide