Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Merida (Mexico), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 March 2025, Tuesday


	Dan Martin		Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

	1	2
	4.33	1.2	Watch
	4.4	1.17	Watch
	4	1.2	Watch
	4.22	1.2	Watch
	4.5	1.17	Watch
	3.7	1.25	Watch
	4	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.16 ↑ (3.03)	1.2 ↓ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dan Martin
22.3%

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
77.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

69.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

69.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dan Martin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dan Martin's form might have worsened.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juan Carlos Prado Angelo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dan Martin than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dan Martin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Carlos Prado Angelo than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juan Carlos Prado Angelo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dan Martin - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Martin is ranked ATP: 785. Prado Angelo is ranked ATP: 302.

Recent matches Martin is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Prado Angelo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Prado Angelo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dan Martin
ATP Challenger
17.03.25	Maxwell McKennon - Dan Martin	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Tennyson Whiting - Dan Martin	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.03.25	Dan Martin - Nicolas Arseneault	1:2 ✺
11.03.25	Dan Martin - Phillip Jordan	2:0 ✺
05.03.25	Joshua Lapadat - Dan Martin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWL
- Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
ATP Challenger
10.03.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Dennis Novak	0:2 ✺
04.03.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:0 ✺
24.02.25	Rei Sakamoto - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Gian Gruenig - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	1:2 ✺
03.02.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL

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