Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokkaichi (Japan), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 November 2024, Monday


	Dane Sweeny		Naoki Nakagawa

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.05	1.7
	2.02	1.71	Watch
	2.1	1.76
	2.12	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.03	1.72	Watch
	2.02	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.61)	1.7 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dane Sweeny
45.1%

Naoki Nakagawa
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dane Sweeny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dane Sweeny's performance.

Naoki Nakagawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Naoki Nakagawa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dane Sweeny than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dane Sweeny that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naoki Nakagawa than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Naoki Nakagawa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dane Sweeny - Naoki Nakagawa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sweeny is ranked ATP: 339. Nakagawa is ranked ATP: 381.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Nakagawa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dane Sweeny
ATP Challenger
17.11.24	Masamichi Imamura - Dane Sweeny	2:1 ✺
09.11.24	Rei Sakamoto - Dane Sweeny	2:0 ✺
04.11.24	Federico Cina - Dane Sweeny	2:0 ✺
03.11.24	Dane Sweeny - Philip Sekulic	2:0 ✺
02.11.24	Dane Sweeny - Riku Takahata	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLWW
- Naoki Nakagawa
ATP Challenger
17.11.24	Ji Sung Nam - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
16.11.24	Yusuke Takahashi - Naoki Nakagawa	0:2 ✺
11.11.24	Matej Dodig - Naoki Nakagawa	2:1 ✺
04.11.24	Naoki Nakagawa - Alexander Kotzen	0:2 ✺
03.11.24	Naoki Nakagawa - Andres Urrea	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLW

Dane Sweeny - Naoki Nakagawa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide