Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: GUANGZHOU (CHINA), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 13 September 2023, Wednesday


	Dane Sweeny		Rio Noguchi

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.52	2.45
	1.53	2.52
	1.57	2.25
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.58	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.65)	2.34 ↑ (2.06)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dane Sweeny
60%

Rio Noguchi
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dane Sweeny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dane Sweeny than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Dane Sweeny - Rio Noguchi Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sweeny will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Noguchi will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Sweeny is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Noguchi is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Noguchi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dane Sweeny
ATP Challenger
12.09.23	Qian Sun - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
07.09.23	Dane Sweeny - Juncheng Shang	0:2 ✺
05.09.23	Mukund Sasikumar - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
13.08.23	Dane Sweeny - Constant Lestienne	1:2 ✺
12.08.23	Dane Sweeny - Pedro Vives Marcos	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWL?
- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
11.09.23	Evan Zhu - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
05.09.23	Dominik Palan - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
30.08.23	Rio Noguchi - Linang Xiao	1:2 ✺
15.08.23	Jack Draper - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
28.07.23	Illya Marchenko - Rio Noguchi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLL

Dane Sweeny - Rio Noguchi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide