Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Busan (South Korea), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 April 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Sungmin N. (Kor)


	Illya Marchenko		Rio Noguchi

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.8	1.92
	1.84	1.99
	1.85	1.99
	1.73	2
	1.72	2.04	Watch
	1.73	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.86)	1.99 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illya Marchenko
52.9%

Rio Noguchi
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illya Marchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illya Marchenko than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Illya Marchenko - Rio Noguchi Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Marchenko will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Noguchi will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marchenko: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Marchenko is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Noguchi is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Marchenko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marchenko won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Illya Marchenko
ATP Challenger
08.04.24	Illya Marchenko - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
13.03.24	Ergi Kirkin - Illya Marchenko	2:1 ✺
04.03.24	Illya Marchenko - Cem Ilkel	0:2 ✺
03.03.24	Illya Marchenko - Yannik Steinegger	2:1 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
10.02.24	Flavio Cobolli - Illya Marchenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLWL
- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
08.04.24	Rio Noguchi - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Rio Noguchi - James McCabe	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Rio Noguchi - Woobin Shin	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.03.24	Alex Bolt - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
22.03.24	Shintaro Imai - Rio Noguchi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.07.23	Illya Marchenko - Rio Noguchi	2:1

Illya Marchenko - Rio Noguchi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide