Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brisbane, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Brisbane 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Dane Sweeny		Yasutaka Uchiyama

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.41	2.7	Watch
	1.45	2.94
	1.51	2.43	Watch
	1.44	2.63
	1.43	2.62	Watch
	1.45	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.37)	2.67 ↓ (2.84)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dane Sweeny
65%

Yasutaka Uchiyama
35%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.4%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dane Sweeny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Yasutaka Uchiyama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dane Sweeny than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dane Sweeny, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yasutaka Uchiyama than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yasutaka Uchiyama, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Dane Sweeny - Yasutaka Uchiyama Predictions

Users Predictions: Dane Sweeny will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sweeny is ranked ATP: 151. Uchiyama is ranked ATP: 326.

Sweeny has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Uchiyama is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Sweeny is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sweeny won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dane Sweeny
ATP Challenger
05.02.26	Cruz Hewitt - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
04.02.26	Tai Sach - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
02.02.26	Shunsuke Mitsui - Dane Sweeny	Mitsui S. retired ✺
ATP Australian Open
21.01.26	Ben Shelton - Dane Sweeny	3:0 ✺
19.01.26	Dane Sweeny - Gael Monfils	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WW?LW
- Yasutaka Uchiyama
ATP Challenger
05.02.26	Alex Bolt - Yasutaka Uchiyama	1:2 ✺
03.02.26	Pavle Marinkov - Yasutaka Uchiyama	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Hiroki Moriya - Yasutaka Uchiyama	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Marek Gengel - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
13.01.26	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Andres Martin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.04.24	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Dane Sweeny	2:1
09.02.24	Dane Sweeny - Yasutaka Uchiyama	Sweeny D. retired
ITF Tournaments
20.05.22	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Dane Sweeny	2:0

Dane Sweeny - Yasutaka Uchiyama