Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Dane Sweeny		Gael Monfils

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.45	1.56	Watch
	2.41	1.57	Watch
	2.5	1.53
	2.46	1.56	Watch
	2.4	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.17)	1.56 ↓ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Dane Sweeny
39.1%

Gael Monfils
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dane Sweeny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Gael Monfils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.2%	0%	43.7%

Dane Sweeny - Gael Monfils Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Sweeny will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Monfils will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sweeny: 32% – 80.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Sweeny (votes: 3 - 50%). Monfils (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

#ad

Preview

Sweeny is ranked ATP: 182. Monfils is ranked ATP: 69.

Sweeny is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Monfils may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Monfils could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dane Sweeny
ATP Australian Open
14.01.26	Stefano Travaglia - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Jerome Kym - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Dane Sweeny - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
ATP Brisbane
05.01.26	Reilly Opelka - Dane Sweeny	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Dane Sweeny - Christopher OConnell	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWLW
- Gael Monfils
ATP Auckland
13.01.26	Fabian Marozsan - Gael Monfils	2:1 ✺
Exhibition Men World Tennis League
17.12.25	Gael Monfils - Daniil Medvedev	1:0 ✺
ATP Chengdu
18.09.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Gael Monfils	Monfils G. retired ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.25	Gael Monfils - Roman Safiullin	2:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
08.08.25	Gael Monfils - Nishesh Basavareddy	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LW?L?

Upcoming Matches