Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Ben Shelton		Dane Sweeny

	1	2
	1.07	9	Watch
	1.07	8.4	Watch
	1.07	8.48	Watch
	1.11	6.5
	1.08	9.25	Watch
	1.07	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.08 ↓ (1.14)	8.36 ↑ (5.65)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ben Shelton
88.6%

Dane Sweeny
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

83.2%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ben Shelton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ben Shelton's performance.

Dane Sweeny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dane Sweeny might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Ben Shelton - Dane Sweeny Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Shelton will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Sweeny will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shelton: 73.9% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Shelton (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 32 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.5 Sets - Sweeny (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ben Shelton will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Shelton (votes: 4 - 80%). Sweeny (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Shelton is ranked ATP: 7. Sweeny is ranked ATP: 182.

Sweeny is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sweeny may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Shelton is the undisputed favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ben Shelton
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Ben Shelton - Ugo Humbert	3:0 ✺
ATP Auckland
15.01.26	Ben Shelton - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Ben Shelton - Francisco Comesana	2:0 ✺
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
06.12.25	Nick Kyrgios - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
ATP World Tour Finals
14.11.25	Jannik Sinner - Ben Shelton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWWL
- Dane Sweeny
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Dane Sweeny - Gael Monfils	3:1 ✺
14.01.26	Stefano Travaglia - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Jerome Kym - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Dane Sweeny - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
ATP Brisbane
05.01.26	Reilly Opelka - Dane Sweeny	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWWL

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