Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Heilbronn (Germany), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 June 2024, Thursday

Referee: Russo E. (Ita)


	Daniel Altmaier		Maks Kasnikowski

	1	2
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.26	3.5
	1.25	3.6	Watch
	1.25	4.01
	1.26	4.01
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.21	4.21	Watch
	1.25	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.3)	3.78 ↑ (3.28)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Altmaier
75.1%

Maks Kasnikowski
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.6%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Altmaier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Maks Kasnikowski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Altmaier than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Altmaier that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maks Kasnikowski than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maks Kasnikowski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	0%	6.2%

Daniel Altmaier - Maks Kasnikowski Predictions

Users Predictions: Daniel Altmaier will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Altmaier is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kasnikowski in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Altmaier could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Altmaier is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Altmaier
ATP Challenger
04.06.24	Daniel Altmaier - Marko Topo	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.24	Daniel Altmaier - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:3 ✺
26.05.24	Laslo Djere - Daniel Altmaier	2:3 ✺
ATP Geneva
19.05.24	Daniel Altmaier - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
09.05.24	Daniel Altmaier - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWLL
- Maks Kasnikowski
ATP Challenger
04.06.24	Maks Kasnikowski - Sebastian Fanselow	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.06.24	Maks Kasnikowski - Jay Clarke	2:0 ✺
01.06.24	Maks Kasnikowski - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:1 ✺
31.05.24	Maks Kasnikowski - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
30.05.24	Maks Kasnikowski - Faris Zakaryia	Zakaryia F. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWW?

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