Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Geneva (Switzerland), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 May 2024, Sunday

Referee: Asderaki-Moore E. (Gre)


	Daniel Altmaier		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.85	1.91
	1.82	1.95	Watch
	1.86	1.99
	1.86	1.99
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.78	2.04	Watch
	1.76	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.02)	1.99 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Altmaier
52.2%

Roberto Carballes Baena
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Altmaier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Altmaier's performance.

Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roberto Carballes Baena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Altmaier than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Altmaier that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roberto Carballes Baena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Daniel Altmaier - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Altmaier will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Carballes Baena will win (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Altmaier: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Carballes Baena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Altmaier
ATP Roma
09.05.24	Daniel Altmaier - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.05.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Daniel Altmaier	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
28.04.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
26.04.24	Daniel Altmaier - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
24.04.24	Daniel Altmaier - Martin Landaluce	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLLWW
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Challenger
16.05.24	Juncheng Shang - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
11.05.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
09.05.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Christopher OConnell	O'Connell C. retired ✺
ATP Madrid
27.04.24	Alexander Bublik - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:1 ✺
25.04.24	Dominik Koepfer - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LL?LW

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