Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome (Italy), clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 9 May 2024, Thursday

Referee: Haigh R. (Gbr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Hungary	Match 4
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2


	Daniel Altmaier		Luca Nardi

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.65	2.25	Watch
	1.67	2.33
	1.67	2.33
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.68	2.22	Watch
	1.67	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (2.28)	2.25 ↑ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Altmaier
57.5%

Luca Nardi
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Altmaier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Altmaier's performance.

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Nardi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Altmaier than the current prediction. (-17.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Altmaier that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+17.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Nardi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Daniel Altmaier - Luca Nardi Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Altmaier will win (votes: 10 - 50%). Nardi will win (votes: 10 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Altmaier: 28.1% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Altmaier could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Altmaier
ATP Challenger
01.05.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Daniel Altmaier	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
28.04.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
26.04.24	Daniel Altmaier - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
24.04.24	Daniel Altmaier - Martin Landaluce	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
17.04.24	Daniel Altmaier - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWWL
- Luca Nardi
ATP Bucharest
15.04.24	Luca Nardi - Thiago Seyboth Wild	1:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Alexandre Muller - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Lucas Pouille - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.03.24	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWWW

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