Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SHANGHAI (CHINA), HARD - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 4 October 2023, Wednesday


	Daniel Altmaier		Yoshihito Nishioka

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.5	1.52
	2.45	1.51
	2.58	1.56
	2.5	1.53
	2.56	1.51	Watch
	2.47	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.83)	1.53 ↑ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Altmaier
38%

Yoshihito Nishioka
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

69%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Altmaier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Yoshihito Nishioka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Altmaier than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Altmaier that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yoshihito Nishioka than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yoshihito Nishioka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13%	0%	87%

Daniel Altmaier - Yoshihito Nishioka Predictions

Users Predictions: Yoshihito Nishioka will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Altmaier could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Nishioka will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Altmaier
ATP Beijing
26.09.23	Lloyd Harris - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
17.09.23	Damir Dzumhur - Daniel Altmaier	Canceled ✺
16.09.23	Nerman Fatic - Daniel Altmaier	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.23	Alexander Zverev - Daniel Altmaier	3:1 ✺
29.08.23	Daniel Altmaier - Constant Lestienne	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 L?WLW
- Yoshihito Nishioka
ATP Beijing
01.10.23	Yoshihito Nishioka - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
29.09.23	Juncheng Shang - Yoshihito Nishioka	1:2 ✺
ATP Zhuhai
26.09.23	Karen Khachanov - Yoshihito Nishioka	2:0 ✺
25.09.23	Yoshihito Nishioka - Aslan Karatsev	2:0 ✺
24.09.23	Yoshihito Nishioka - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLWW

Daniel Altmaier - Yoshihito Nishioka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide