Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: BEIJING (CHINA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 29 September 2023, Friday


	Juncheng Shang		Yoshihito Nishioka

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.25	1.62
	2.25	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.65
	2.31	1.68
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.28	1.63	Watch
	2.25	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.17)	1.64 ↓ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juncheng Shang
42.1%

Yoshihito Nishioka
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juncheng Shang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Yoshihito Nishioka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juncheng Shang than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yoshihito Nishioka than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.1%	0%	38.9%

Juncheng Shang - Yoshihito Nishioka Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Shang will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Nishioka will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shang: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Shang is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nishioka is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nishioka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juncheng Shang
ATP Zhuhai
21.09.23	Juncheng Shang - Mackenzie McDonald	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.09.23	Omar Jasika - Juncheng Shang	Shang J. retired ✺
12.09.23	Mikalai Haliak - Juncheng Shang	1:2 ✺
09.09.23	Juncheng Shang - Yosuke Watanuki	0:2 ✺
08.09.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Juncheng Shang	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 L?WLW
- Yoshihito Nishioka
ATP Zhuhai
26.09.23	Karen Khachanov - Yoshihito Nishioka	2:0 ✺
25.09.23	Yoshihito Nishioka - Aslan Karatsev	2:0 ✺
24.09.23	Yoshihito Nishioka - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
22.09.23	Yoshihito Nishioka - Lloyd Harris	2:0 ✺
20.09.23	Yoshihito Nishioka - Terence Atmane	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWWW

Juncheng Shang - Yoshihito Nishioka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide