Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rome - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday


	Sebastian Sorger		Andrea Guerrieri

	1	2
			Watch
	2.6	1.44	Watch
	2.87	1.44
	2.65	1.42	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.66	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.43)	1.44 ↓ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Sorger
35.2%

Andrea Guerrieri
64.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Sorger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Andrea Guerrieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Sorger than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Guerrieri than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Sebastian Sorger - Andrea Guerrieri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sorger is ranked ATP: 432. Guerrieri is ranked ATP: 338.

Sorger is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Guerrieri has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sorger may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Guerrieri might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sorger won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Sorger
ITF Tournaments
29.03.26	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Sebastian Sorger	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	Loann Massard - Sebastian Sorger	1:2 ✺
27.03.26	Leo Lagarrigue - Sebastian Sorger	0:2 ✺
26.03.26	Sebastian Sorger - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Sebastian Sorger - Michael Agwi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWWWW
- Andrea Guerrieri
ATP Challenger
08.04.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Guy Den Ouden - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Federico Bondioli - Andrea Guerrieri	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Radu Albot - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Michele Ribecai - Andrea Guerrieri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
21.06.23	Sebastian Sorger - Andrea Guerrieri	1:2

Sebastian Sorger - Andrea Guerrieri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide