Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Kayseri 8, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kayseri 8 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Daniel De Jonge		Ivan Marrero Curbelo

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Daniel De Jonge
39.5%

Ivan Marrero Curbelo
60.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

64.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel De Jonge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Ivan Marrero Curbelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel De Jonge than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ivan Marrero Curbelo than the current prediction. (+4%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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De Jonge is ranked ATP: 889. Marrero Curbelo is ranked ATP: 805.

De Jonge has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Marrero Curbelo is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

De Jonge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Marrero Curbelo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Marrero Curbelo will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel De Jonge
ITF Tournaments
19.09.25	Daniel De Jonge - Semen Pankin	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Daniel De Jonge - Anmar Faleh Alhogbani	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Daniel De Jonge - Stefan Cooper	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Matisse Bobichon - Daniel De Jonge	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Daniel De Jonge - Mikel Martinez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWLW
- Ivan Marrero Curbelo
ITF Tournaments
21.09.25	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Matthew Summers - Ivan Marrero Curbelo	1:2 ✺
19.09.25	Nicolas Tepmahc - Ivan Marrero Curbelo	1:2 ✺
18.09.25	Younes Lalami Laaroussi - Ivan Marrero Curbelo	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Bora Sengul - Ivan Marrero Curbelo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWW

Daniel De Jonge - Ivan Marrero Curbelo