Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Madrid 2, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday


	Matisse Bobichon		Daniel De Jonge

	1	2
	1.53	2.3
	1.59	2.29
	1.64	2.06	Watch
	1.55	2.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.83)	2.24 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matisse Bobichon
58.7%

Daniel De Jonge
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matisse Bobichon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matisse Bobichon's performance.

Daniel De Jonge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniel De Jonge might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matisse Bobichon than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matisse Bobichon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel De Jonge than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniel De Jonge could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Matisse Bobichon - Daniel De Jonge Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Matisse Bobichon will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bobichon is ranked ATP: 1068. De Jonge is ranked ATP: 954.

In recent matches, Bobichon has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

De Jonge is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bobichon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matisse Bobichon
ITF Tournaments
12.09.25	Matisse Bobichon - Gian Luca Tanner	2:0 ✺
11.09.25	Pavlo Tsitsipas - Matisse Bobichon	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Matisse Bobichon - Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez	2:0 ✺
25.08.25	Alejandro Juan Mano - Matisse Bobichon	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Vincent Marysko - Matisse Bobichon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWLL
- Daniel De Jonge
ITF Tournaments
12.09.25	Daniel De Jonge - Mikel Martinez	2:0 ✺
11.09.25	Daniel De Jonge - Joshua Peck	2:0 ✺
10.09.25	Daniel De Jonge - Nicolas Rafael Goldberg Alviani	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Daniel De Jonge - Maxence Beauge	1:2 ✺
03.09.25	Daniel De Jonge - Mateo Bivol	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWLW

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