Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santos, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday


	Daniel Dutra da Silva		Facundo Mena

	1	2
			Watch
	2.49	1.47	Watch
	2.32	1.52
	2.56	1.45	Watch
	2.5	1.47	Watch
	2.3	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.3)	1.49 ↓ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Dutra da Silva
37.9%

Facundo Mena
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Dutra da Silva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Facundo Mena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Dutra da Silva than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Mena than the current prediction. (+4%)

Daniel Dutra da Silva - Facundo Mena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dutra da Silva is ranked ATP: 385. Mena is ranked ATP: 296.

Recent performances by Dutra da Silva have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mena has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Mena will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dutra da Silva won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Dutra da Silva - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.95%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Dutra da Silva
ATP Challenger
19.04.26	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Aidan Mayo	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Garrett Johns	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Aidan Mayo	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Yibing Wu - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:0 ✺
09.04.26	Garrett Johns - Daniel Dutra da Silva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWLW
- Facundo Mena
ATP Challenger
15.04.26	Facundo Mena - Valerio Aboian	0:2 ✺
14.04.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Facundo Mena	Varillas J. P. Retired ✺
14.04.26	Lautaro Midon - Facundo Mena	Canceled ✺
07.04.26	Luka Pavlovic - Facundo Mena	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Facundo Mena - Tristan Schoolkate	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 L??LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.04.25	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Facundo Mena	2:0
23.09.24	Facundo Mena - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:0
04.05.24	Facundo Mena - Daniel Dutra da Silva	0:2
25.04.24	Facundo Mena - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:0
30.03.22	Facundo Mena - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:0

Daniel Dutra da Silva - Facundo Mena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide