Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday


	Luka Pavlovic		Facundo Mena

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.93	1.78
	1.93	1.78	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.9	1.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.09)	1.79 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luka Pavlovic
48.3%

Facundo Mena
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luka Pavlovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Facundo Mena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luka Pavlovic than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Mena than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Luka Pavlovic - Facundo Mena Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Pavlovic will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Mena will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pavlovic (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pavlovic is ranked ATP: 209. Mena is ranked ATP: 305.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Facundo Mena - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.88%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luka Pavlovic
ATP Challenger
02.04.26	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Luka Pavlovic	2:1 ✺
31.03.26	Andrew Fenty - Luka Pavlovic	0:2 ✺
27.03.26	Alexis Galarneau - Luka Pavlovic	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Luka Pavlovic - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Max Houkes - Luka Pavlovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 LWWWL
- Facundo Mena
ATP Challenger
03.04.26	Facundo Mena - Tristan Schoolkate	1:2 ✺
01.04.26	Facundo Mena - Patrick Zahraj	2:0 ✺
30.03.26	Stefano Napolitano - Facundo Mena	0:2 ✺
24.03.26	Marc Polmans - Facundo Mena	2:1 ✺
23.03.26	Facundo Mena - Maxwell McKennon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWLW

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