Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Buenos Aires 3, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday


	Daniel Dutra da Silva		Francesco Maestrelli

	1	2
	4.5	1.18	Watch
			Watch
	4.2	1.18	Watch
	4.76	1.2
	3.91	1.21	Watch
			Watch
	4.32	1.19	Watch
	3.8	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.25 ↑ (1.84)	1.2 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Dutra da Silva
22%

Francesco Maestrelli
78%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Dutra da Silva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-28.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniel Dutra da Silva's form might have worsened.

Francesco Maestrelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francesco Maestrelli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Dutra da Silva than the current prediction. (+29.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniel Dutra da Silva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (-29.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francesco Maestrelli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Daniel Dutra da Silva - Francesco Maestrelli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dutra da Silva is ranked ATP: 352. Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 159.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Maestrelli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Dutra da Silva - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Francesco Maestrelli - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 41% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Dutra da Silva
ATP Challenger
22.09.25	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Mariano Kestelboim	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Lucio Ratti	2:0 ✺
15.09.25	Emilio Nava - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.09.25	Igor Marcondes - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Bruno Fernandez - Daniel Dutra da Silva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLLW
- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Challenger
19.09.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
15.09.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	2:1 ✺
05.09.25	Andrew Paulson - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
04.09.25	Kai Wehnelt - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWLW

Daniel Dutra da Silva - Francesco Maestrelli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide