Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Villa Maria, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday


	Francesco Maestrelli		Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.34
	1.59	2.46
	1.54	2.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.62)	2.39 ↑ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Maestrelli
60.7%

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Maestrelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Francesco Maestrelli - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Maestrelli will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Dellien Velasco will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dellien Velasco (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 159. Dellien Velasco is ranked ATP: 279.

Maestrelli is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Dellien Velasco's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Dellien Velasco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Maestrelli might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maestrelli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Francesco Maestrelli - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.56%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Challenger
17.09.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
15.09.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	2:1 ✺
05.09.25	Andrew Paulson - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
04.09.25	Kai Wehnelt - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2 ✺
02.09.25	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Francesco Maestrelli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLWW
- Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
ATP Challenger
17.09.25	Guido Ivan Justo - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	0:2 ✺
15.09.25	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	2:1 ✺
19.08.25	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Zdenek Kolar - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0 ✺
15.08.25	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Dali Blanch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.03.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	0:2

Francesco Maestrelli - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide