Match Info

Date: 25 March 2022, Friday


	Daniel Elahi Galan		Alexander Bublik

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	3.1	1.38	Watch
	2.9	1.37
	3.19	1.41
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	3.2	1.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.9)	1.4 ↓ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Elahi Galan
31.7%

Alexander Bublik
68.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

67.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

68.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Elahi Galan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Elahi Galan than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.7%	0%	79.3%

Daniel Elahi Galan - Alexander Bublik Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexander Bublik will win (23 of 29 users predict this - 79.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.57% – 94.05%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Galan is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Bublik is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Galan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bublik will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Elahi Galan
ATP Miami
23.03.22	Daniel Elahi Galan - John Millman	2:0 ✺
22.03.22	Daniel Elahi Galan - Nicolas Kicker	2:1 ✺
21.03.22	Daniel Elahi Galan - Martin Damm	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.22	Daniel Elahi Galan - Jeffrey John Wolf	0:2 ✺
08.03.22	Daniel Elahi Galan - Dmitry Popko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWLW
- Alexander Bublik
ATP Indian Wells
15.03.22	Alexander Bublik - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
13.03.22	Alexander Bublik - Andy Murray	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
05.03.22	Casper Ruud - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
04.03.22	Viktor Durasovic - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
22.02.22	Hubert Hurkacz - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWWWL

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