Match Info

EXHIBITION - MEN: UTS Championship, clay

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	L'Equipe


	Casper Ruud		Alexander Bublik

	1	2
	1.65	2.1
	1.71	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.69)	2.12 ↓ (2.18)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casper Ruud
55.8%

Alexander Bublik
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casper Ruud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Casper Ruud - Alexander Bublik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Preview

Ruud is ranked ATP: 12. Bublik is ranked ATP: 11.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ruud won 4.

Ruud has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bublik has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ruud won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:5. (average 1.9:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casper Ruud
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
03.04.26	Casper Ruud - Karen Khachanov	3:1 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.26	Casper Ruud - Ethan Quinn	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
11.03.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
09.03.26	Valentin Vacherot - Casper Ruud	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLWW
- Alexander Bublik
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
03.04.26	Alexander Bublik - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.26	Alexander Bublik - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.26	Alexander Bublik - Rinky Hijikata	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Alexander Bublik - Vit Kopriva	2:1 ✺
ATP Dubai
25.02.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
10.05.25	Alexander Bublik - Casper Ruud	1:2
ATP Basel
25.10.23	Alexander Bublik - Casper Ruud	0:2
ATP Roma
14.05.23	Casper Ruud - Alexander Bublik	2:1
ATP Miami
27.03.22	Casper Ruud - Alexander Bublik	2:0
Davis Cup World Group
05.03.22	Casper Ruud - Alexander Bublik	1:2
ATP Paris
02.11.21	Casper Ruud - Alexander Bublik	2:0
ATP Madrid
07.05.21	Alexander Bublik - Casper Ruud	0:2

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