Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lyon, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports MAX 4


	Daniel Elahi Galan		Felix Balshaw

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.10	1.65
	2.05	1.65
	2.24	1.74
	2.05	1.69	Watch
	2.10	1.67	Watch
	2.06	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.75)	1.69 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Elahi Galan
44.7%

Felix Balshaw
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Elahi Galan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniel Elahi Galan's form might have worsened.

Felix Balshaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Felix Balshaw's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Elahi Galan than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniel Elahi Galan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Balshaw than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Felix Balshaw, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Daniel Elahi Galan - Felix Balshaw Predictions

Users Predictions: Daniel Elahi Galan will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Galan is ranked ATP: 347. Balshaw is ranked ATP: 412.

Galan is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Balshaw is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Galan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Elahi Galan - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 53.09%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Elahi Galan
ATP Challenger
12.06.26	Daniel Elahi Galan - Kimmer Coppejans	2:1 ✺
11.06.26	Marco Trungelliti - Daniel Elahi Galan	1:2 ✺
08.06.26	Luka Pavlovic - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
02.06.26	Daniel Elahi Galan - Max Hans Rehberg	0:2 ✺
01.06.26	Daniel Elahi Galan - Marc Polmans	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWLW
- Felix Balshaw
ATP Challenger
12.06.26	Felix Balshaw - Clement Tabur	2:0 ✺
11.06.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Felix Balshaw	1:2 ✺
09.06.26	Luca Staeheli - Felix Balshaw	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.05.26	Corentin Denolly - Felix Balshaw	0:2 ✺
23.05.26	Raphael Perot - Felix Balshaw	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWWWW

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