Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rosario (Argentina), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 February 2025, Tuesday


	Daniel Elahi Galan		Francesco Passaro

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.81	2.02
	1.8	1.95	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.8	1.93	Watch
	1.8	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.85)	1.95 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Elahi Galan
52.3%

Francesco Passaro
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Elahi Galan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Elahi Galan than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Daniel Elahi Galan - Francesco Passaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Galan will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Passaro will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Galan: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Galan is ranked ATP: 121. Passaro is ranked ATP: 89.

Galan is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Passaro is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Galan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Galan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Last Results with these Odds

Francesco Passaro - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Elahi Galan
ATP Challenger
01.02.25	Daniel Elahi Galan - Carlos Taberner	0:2 ✺
30.01.25	Daniel Elahi Galan - Valerio Aboian	2:1 ✺
26.01.25	Daniel Elahi Galan - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Emilio Nava - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
24.01.25	Daniel Elahi Galan - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWWW
- Francesco Passaro
ATP Australian Open
14.01.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Francesco Passaro	3:1 ✺
13.01.25	Francesco Passaro - Grigor Dimitrov	Dimitrov G. retired ✺
08.01.25	Francesco Passaro - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
07.01.25	Francesco Passaro - Javier Barranco Cosano	2:1 ✺
06.01.25	Francesco Passaro - Giulio Zeppieri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 L?LWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.05.24	Francesco Passaro - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:1

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