Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia) - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 8 January 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	05:15	Max
Croatia	04:15	Max
Czech Republic	04:15	Max
Denmark	04:15	Max
Finland	05:15	Max
France	04:15	Max
Hungary	04:15	Max
Norway	04:15	MAX
Poland	04:15	Max
Romania	05:15	Max
Slovenia	04:15	Max
Sweden	04:15	Max


	Francesco Passaro		Nikoloz Basilashvili

	1	2
	1.73	2
	1.75	2
	1.74	1.98	Watch
	1.82	1.95	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.85	1.98	Watch
	1.74	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.67)	1.98 ↓ (2.12)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Passaro
52.9%

Nikoloz Basilashvili
47.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Nikoloz Basilashvili has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	0%	84.6%

Francesco Passaro - Nikoloz Basilashvili Predictions

Users Predictions: Nikoloz Basilashvili will win (22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.75% – 98.49%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Passaro is ranked ATP: 105. Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 210.

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Basilashvili could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Passaro
ATP Australian Open
07.01.25	Francesco Passaro - Javier Barranco Cosano	2:1 ✺
06.01.25	Francesco Passaro - Giulio Zeppieri	2:0 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
31.12.24	Francesco Passaro - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
29.12.24	Francesco Passaro - Denis Yevseyev	2:1 ✺
28.12.24	Francesco Passaro - Aziz Dougaz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLWW
- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Australian Open
07.01.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Alibek Kachmazov	2:0 ✺
06.01.25	Cruz Hewitt - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.11.24	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Constant Lestienne	Basilashvili N. retired ✺
18.11.24	Matej Dodig - Nikoloz Basilashvili	1:2 ✺
10.11.24	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Hiroki Moriya	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WW?WL

Francesco Passaro - Nikoloz Basilashvili

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Francesco Passaro - Nikoloz Basilashvili Predictions

Preview

Form

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