Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Daniel Elahi Galan		Raphael Collignon

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	2.1	1.7
	1.94	1.83	Watch
	1.95	1.93
	2.79	1.45	Watch
	2.1	1.73
	2.02	1.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.79)	1.78 ↓ (2.13)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Elahi Galan
45.7%

Raphael Collignon
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Elahi Galan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniel Elahi Galan's form might have worsened.

Raphael Collignon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Raphael Collignon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Elahi Galan than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniel Elahi Galan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raphael Collignon than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Raphael Collignon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Daniel Elahi Galan - Raphael Collignon Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Galan will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Collignon will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Collignon: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Galan (votes: 4 - 50%). Collignon (votes: 4 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Galan is ranked ATP: 132. Collignon is ranked ATP: 105.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Galan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Galan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Elahi Galan
ATP US Open
22.08.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Patrick Maloney - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
18.08.25	Guy Den Ouden - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Daniel Elahi Galan - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
09.08.25	Jannik Sinner - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLL
- Raphael Collignon
ATP US Open
25.08.25	Laslo Djere - Raphael Collignon	Canceled ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
18.08.25	Raphael Collignon - Nishesh Basavareddy	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.08.25	Timofey Skatov - Raphael Collignon	2:1 ✺
08.08.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
07.08.25	Jerome Kym - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 ?LLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
30.12.24	Daniel Elahi Galan - Raphael Collignon	2:1

Daniel Elahi Galan - Raphael Collignon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide