Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 22 August 2025, Friday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Shintaro Mochizuki		Daniel Elahi Galan

	1	2
	1.67	2.1
	1.75	2
	1.71	2.08
	1.8	2.04
	1.71	2.11	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.76	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.53)	2.06 ↓ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shintaro Mochizuki
54.5%

Daniel Elahi Galan
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shintaro Mochizuki's form might have worsened.

Daniel Elahi Galan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniel Elahi Galan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shintaro Mochizuki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Elahi Galan than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniel Elahi Galan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Shintaro Mochizuki - Daniel Elahi Galan Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Mochizuki will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Galan will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 112. Galan is ranked ATP: 132.

Mochizuki is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Galan has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Galan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mochizuki could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:1 ✺
19.08.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Jurij Rodionov	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.08.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
15.08.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Filip Misolic	2:1 ✺
14.08.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Karl Poling	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLWW
- Daniel Elahi Galan
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Patrick Maloney - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
18.08.25	Guy Den Ouden - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Daniel Elahi Galan - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
09.08.25	Jannik Sinner - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:0 ✺
07.08.25	Daniel Elahi Galan - Vit Kopriva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLLW

Shintaro Mochizuki - Daniel Elahi Galan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide