Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: AUSTRALIAN OPEN (AUSTRALIA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 16 January 2024, Tuesday

Location: 1573 Arena (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Nine Network
Brazil	ESPN 2
Czech-republic	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Denmark	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
France	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Germany	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Hungary	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Italy	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Netherlands	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Norway	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Poland	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Portugal	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Turkey	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
World	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2


	Daniel Elahi Galan		Sebastian Baez

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.85	1.48
	3.09	1.42
	2.9	1.4
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.63	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.22)	1.43 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Elahi Galan
33%

Sebastian Baez
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Elahi Galan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniel Elahi Galan's form might have worsened.

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sebastian Baez's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Daniel Elahi Galan - Sebastian Baez Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Galan will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%). Baez will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baez: 62.1% – 93.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Baez will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Galan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Elahi Galan
ATP Australian Open
14.01.24	Daniel Elahi Galan - Jason Kubler	3:2 ✺
ATP Auckland
05.01.24	Daniel Elahi Galan - Constant Lestienne	Canceled ✺
ATP Brisbane
30.12.23	Daniel Elahi Galan - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
30.12.23	Daniel Elahi Galan - Andrey Kuznetsov	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.11.23	Francisco Comesana - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 W?LWL
- Sebastian Baez
ATP Australian Open
14.01.24	Jeffrey John Wolf - Sebastian Baez	Wolf J.J. retired ✺
ATP Adelaide
08.01.24	Jack Draper - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
ATP Brisbane
01.01.24	Lukas Klein - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
ATP Sofia
08.11.23	Pavel Kotov - Sebastian Baez	Baez S. retired ✺
ATP Paris
30.10.23	Taylor Harry Fritz - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 ?LL?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Winston-Salem
21.08.23	Daniel Elahi Galan - Sebastian Baez	1:2
ATP Challenger
18.02.21	Daniel Elahi Galan - Sebastian Baez	0:2
03.12.20	Daniel Elahi Galan - Sebastian Baez	2:1

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