Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SOFIA (BULGARIA), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 8 November 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
France	beIN Sports Max
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Pavel Kotov		Sebastian Baez

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.78	2
	1.75	2.05	Watch
	1.8	2.12
	1.81	2.12
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.76	2.06	Watch
	1.71	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.75)	2.09 ↑ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
54.3%

Sebastian Baez
45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Pavel Kotov have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Sebastian Baez have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Pavel Kotov - Sebastian Baez Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 14 - 50%). Baez will win (votes: 14 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kotov: 31.5% – 68.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Kotov is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Baez is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kotov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Sofia
07.11.23	Alexandar Lazarov - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.10.23	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Pavel Kotov	Canceled ✺
ATP Stockholm
22.10.23	Pavel Kotov - Gael Monfils	1:2 ✺
21.10.23	Miomir Kecmanovic - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
20.10.23	Tallon Griekspoor - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 W?LWW
- Sebastian Baez
ATP Paris
30.10.23	Taylor Harry Fritz - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
ATP Basel
26.10.23	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
23.10.23	Christopher OConnell - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
ATP Stockholm
17.10.23	Sebastian Baez - Jeffrey John Wolf	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
08.10.23	Jannik Sinner - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLL

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