Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: United Cup, hard

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Super Tennis


	Taylor Harry Fritz		Sebastian Baez

	1	2
			Watch
	1.03	8.25	Watch
	1.06	8.56	Watch
	1.05	10
	1.03	12.9	Watch
	1.03	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.04 ↓ (1.06)	10.34 ↑ (8.13)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taylor Harry Fritz
90.9%

Sebastian Baez
9.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

88.5%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taylor Harry Fritz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Taylor Harry Fritz - Sebastian Baez Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Fritz will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Baez will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fritz is ranked ATP: 6. Baez is ranked ATP: 45.

Fritz is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Baez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fritz is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fritz won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taylor Harry Fritz
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
04.12.25	Francis Tiafoe - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:1 ✺
ATP World Tour Finals
13.11.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
11.11.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:1 ✺
10.11.25	Novak Djokovic - Taylor Harry Fritz	N/A ✺
10.11.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLL?W
- Sebastian Baez
ATP United Cup
01.01.26	Jaume Munar - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.11.25	Sebastian Baez - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
ATP Paris
27.10.25	Cameron Norrie - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
ATP Basel
21.10.25	Sebastian Baez - Reilly Opelka	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Sebastian Baez - Denis Shapovalov	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLLL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
28.04.24	Sebastian Baez - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2
ATP Indian Wells
11.03.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Sebastian Baez	2:0
ATP Paris
30.10.23	Taylor Harry Fritz - Sebastian Baez	2:0
ATP Indian Wells
13.03.23	Taylor Harry Fritz - Sebastian Baez	2:0
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.22	Taylor Harry Fritz - Sebastian Baez	2:0

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