Match Info

Date: 22 February 2022, Tuesday


	Daniel Evans		Andrey Rublev

	1	2
	2.3	1.61	Watch
	2.3	1.6
	2.35	1.6	Watch
	2.28	1.58
	2.39	1.64
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.49	1.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.85)	1.59 ↑ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Evans
40.1%

Andrey Rublev
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

67.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Evans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Evans's performance.

Andrey Rublev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrey Rublev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Evans than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Evans that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrey Rublev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.4%	0%	18.6%

Daniel Evans - Andrey Rublev Predictions

Users Predictions: 86 users predict this event. Evans will win (votes: 70 - 81.4%). Rublev will win (votes: 16 - 18.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Evans: 73.2% – 89.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Evans is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rublev is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Evans could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Rublev will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Evans won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Evans
ATP Doha
16.02.22	Daniel Evans - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2 ✺
14.02.22	Daniel Evans - Egor Gerasimov	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
22.01.22	Daniel Evans - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:3 ✺
19.01.22	Daniel Evans - Arthur Rinderknech	Evans D. walkover ✺
18.01.22	Daniel Evans - David Goffin	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWL?W
- Andrey Rublev
ATP Marseille
20.02.22	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
19.02.22	Benjamin Bonzi - Andrey Rublev	1:2 ✺
18.02.22	Lucas Pouille - Andrey Rublev	1:2 ✺
16.02.22	Richard Gasquet - Andrey Rublev	1:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
12.02.22	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
23.08.20	Daniel Evans - Andrey Rublev	2:1
ATP Dubai
27.02.20	Andrey Rublev - Daniel Evans	0:2
ATP Adelaide
15.01.20	Daniel Evans - Andrey Rublev	1:2
ATP Challenger
02.03.19	Andrey Rublev - Daniel Evans	2:0
01.02.16	Andrey Rublev - Daniel Evans	1:2

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