Match Info

EXHIBITION - MEN: UTS Championship, clay

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	L'Equipe


	Felix Aliassime-Auger		Andrey Rublev

	1	2
	2	1.72
	2.27	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2)	1.68 ↓ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felix Aliassime-Auger
44%

Andrey Rublev
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felix Aliassime-Auger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Andrey Rublev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Felix Aliassime Auger - Andrey Rublev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Preview

Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 7. Rublev is ranked ATP: 16.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aliassime-Auger won 1.

Aliassime-Auger has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rublev is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Aliassime-Auger may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Aliassime-Auger won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 0.9:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Felix Aliassime-Auger
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
03.04.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Grigor Dimitrov	Cabal J. S./Farah R. Walkover ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Terence Atmane	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Marton Fucsovics	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.26	Arthur Fils - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Gabriel Diallo - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 ?LWLW
- Andrey Rublev
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
03.04.26	Andrey Rublev - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.26	Andrey Rublev - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.26	Andrey Rublev - Gabriel Diallo	1:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
27.02.26	Andrey Rublev - Tallon Griekspoor	0:2 ✺
26.02.26	Andrey Rublev - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
01.09.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrey Rublev	3:0
ATP Hamburg
23.05.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrey Rublev	0:2
ATP Doha
21.02.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrey Rublev	1:2
ATP Madrid
05.05.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrey Rublev	1:2
ATP Rotterdam
14.02.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrey Rublev	1:2
Exhibition Boodles Challenge Men
28.06.23	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrey Rublev	0:2
ATP Marseille
20.02.22	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrey Rublev	0:2

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