Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rovereto (Italy), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 November 2024, Thursday


	Max Hans Rehberg		Luca Nardi

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.35	1.53
	2.24	1.58	Watch
	2.5	1.55
	2.03	1.74	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.27	1.59	Watch
	2.24	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.2)	1.59 ↓ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Hans Rehberg
41.2%

Luca Nardi
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Hans Rehberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Hans Rehberg than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	0%	84.6%

Max Hans Rehberg - Luca Nardi Predictions

Users Predictions: Luca Nardi will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rehberg is ranked ATP: 279. Nardi is ranked ATP: 110.

Rehberg is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Nardi is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rehberg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Luca Nardi - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.89%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Hans Rehberg
ATP Challenger
19.11.24	Bogdan Pavel - Max Hans Rehberg	1:2 ✺
09.11.24	Max Hans Rehberg - Kei Nishikori	1:2 ✺
08.11.24	Henri Squire - Max Hans Rehberg	0:2 ✺
07.11.24	Max Hans Rehberg - Maximilian Marterer	2:0 ✺
05.11.24	Max Hans Rehberg - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLWWW
- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
19.11.24	Giovanni Fonio - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
12.11.24	Ugo Blanchet - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
10.11.24	Kei Nishikori - Luca Nardi	2:1 ✺
09.11.24	Denis Yevseyev - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
08.11.24	Luca Nardi - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLWW

Max Hans Rehberg - Luca Nardi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide