Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sabadell, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday


	Daniel Merida Aguilar		Miguel Damas

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.88
	1.41	2.76	Watch
	1.36	3
	1.41	2.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.51)	2.84 ↑ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Merida Aguilar
67.1%

Miguel Damas
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Miguel Damas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Daniel Merida Aguilar - Miguel Damas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 329. Damas is ranked ATP: 433.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Merida Aguilar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Merida Aguilar might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Merida Aguilar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Miguel Damas - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 37.66%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ITF Tournaments
01.05.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Darwin Blanch	2:1 ✺
30.04.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Matas Vasiliauskas	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.04.25	Marco Trungelliti - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
03.04.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Carlos Taberner	1:2 ✺
02.04.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Nick Hardt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLLW
- Miguel Damas
ITF Tournaments
01.05.25	Leonid Sheyngezikht - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
30.04.25	Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
24.04.25	Sergi Perez Contri - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
22.04.25	Louis Van Herck - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.04.25	Miguel Damas - Norbert Gombos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
15.09.23	Miguel Damas - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0
04.08.21	Miguel Damas - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:1
26.05.21	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Miguel Damas	2:1

Daniel Merida Aguilar - Miguel Damas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide