Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PARMA (ITALY) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 18 June 2023, Sunday


	Daniel Merida Aguilar		Stefano Napolitano

	1	2
			Watch
	2.65	1.4
	2.45	1.5
	2.93	1.39
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.78	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.46)	1.42 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Merida Aguilar
34.5%

Stefano Napolitano
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Merida Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Stefano Napolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Daniel Merida Aguilar - Stefano Napolitano Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Napolitano will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

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Preview

Merida Aguilar is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Napolitano is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Merida Aguilar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Napolitano will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ITF Tournaments
15.06.23	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Henrique Rocha	Merida Aguilar D. retired ✺
14.06.23	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Ivan Marrero Curbelo	2:0 ✺
11.06.23	Javier Barranco Cosano - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
10.06.23	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
09.06.23	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 ?WLWW
- Stefano Napolitano
ATP Challenger
12.06.23	Renzo Olivo - Stefano Napolitano	2:1 ✺
11.06.23	Stefano Napolitano - Remy Bertola	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.06.23	Julian Ocleppo - Stefano Napolitano	2:0 ✺
10.06.23	Andrey Chepelev - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
09.06.23	Emilien Voisin - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLWW

Daniel Merida Aguilar - Stefano Napolitano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide