Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SZEKESFEHERVAR (HUNGARY), CLAY (INDOOR) - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 15 March 2024, Friday


	Daniel Michalski		Francesco Maestrelli

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.62	Watch
			Watch
	2.33	1.65
	2.33	1.65
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.17	1.64	Watch
	2.17	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.1)	1.65 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Michalski
43%

Francesco Maestrelli
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Michalski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Francesco Maestrelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Michalski than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Daniel Michalski - Francesco Maestrelli Predictions

Users Predictions: Daniel Michalski will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Michalski is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Maestrelli is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Michalski could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Michalski won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Michalski
ATP Challenger
14.03.24	Daniel Michalski - Cezar Cretu	2:0 ✺
13.03.24	Dominic Thiem - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
11.03.24	Daniel Michalski - Jonas Forejtek	2:1 ✺
10.03.24	Daniel Michalski - Evan Furness	2:1 ✺
25.02.24	Mitchell Krueger - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 WWWWL
- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Challenger
13.03.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
11.03.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Attila Boros	2:0 ✺
25.02.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Massimo Giunta	0:2 ✺
24.02.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Matteo Gigante	0:2 ✺
23.02.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Martin Damm	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.02.20	Daniel Michalski - Francesco Maestrelli	2:1

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